Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

79.34 – 237.94

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

81 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 6.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.6 ±9.8

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 20.55Rank 43Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 72.84Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX -14.05Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 414.9 ±9.3

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 80.63Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5608Lassiter Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 23.04Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 134.27Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3815, 7451, 6905

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.3 pts

~0.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3815, 7451, 6905

Auto

16.0 20%

Teleop

57.5 73%

Endgame

4.9 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1648, 5608, 2974

/ 100 compat

Projected

237.9 pts

~2.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1648, 5608, 2974

Auto

49.1 21%

Teleop

151.5 64%

Endgame

36.9 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.45 · Blue 2.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score79.3pts

Blue projected score237.9pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -158.6
Score range: 41–276
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 307 vs event baseline 213.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

229.6Season APEX414.9

16Auto49.1

57.5Teleop151.5

4.9Endgame36.9

92Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	73
teleop	35	108
endgame	5	45
foul	5	0
total	81	226

Result

Final score

81 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 6.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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