Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

114.99 – 162.01

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68 – 304

Prediction correct · off by 94.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 344 ±9.8

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 39.53Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX -7.88Rank 41Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 83.34Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 398.2 ±9.8

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 112.19Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6887Dalton Catabots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 4Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 45.82Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6910, 3091, 4188

/ 100 compat

Projected

115 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6910, 3091, 4188

Auto

13.7 13%

Teleop

42.6 42%

Endgame

45.8 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1002, 6887, 8577

/ 100 compat

Projected

162 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1002, 6887, 8577

Auto

39.0 25%

Teleop

86.2 54%

Endgame

33.4 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Low variance, consistent output

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.95 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score115pts

Blue projected score162pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -47
Score range: 76–201
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 372 vs event baseline 214.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

344Season APEX398.2

13.7Auto39

42.6Teleop86.2

45.8Endgame33.4

159Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	80
teleop	36	149
endgame	0	75
foul	0	0
total	68	304

Result

Final score

68 – 304

Prediction correct · off by 94.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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