Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

193.33 – 211.71

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

110 – 262

Prediction correct · off by 66.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 319.3 ±10.4

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 76.42Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6772The Marist Manta Rays

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 43.95Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 72.96Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 323 ±9.8

4189Chargers

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 113.4Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 13.85Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 84.46Rank 30Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 832, 6772, 6925

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 832, 6772, 6925

Auto

29.0 15%

Teleop

98.9 51%

Endgame

66.6 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4189, 3344, 5109

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4189, 3344, 5109

Auto

68.2 34%

Teleop

119.1 60%

Endgame

11.1 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.17 · Blue 1.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score193.3pts

Blue projected score211.7pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -18.4
Score range: 154–251
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 372 vs event baseline 215.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

319.3Season APEX323

29Auto68.2

98.9Teleop119.1

66.6Endgame11.1

137Consistency98

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	51
teleop	18	158
endgame	46	53
foul	15	0
total	110	262

Result

Final score

110 – 262

Prediction correct · off by 66.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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