Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

197.48 – 99.28

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

262 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 34.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 297.2 ±10.4

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 6.91Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 122.3Rank 11Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1746Team OTTO

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 68.27Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 189.6 ±10.4

10482BuzzBots

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 62Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 29.83Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 7.45Rank 45Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8080, 4026, 1746

/ 100 compat

Projected

197.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8080, 4026, 1746

Auto

31.2 17%

Teleop

125.6 68%

Endgame

29.1 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10482, 1414, 11174

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10482, 1414, 11174

Auto

41.8 40%

Teleop

48.0 46%

Endgame

15.3 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.94 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score197.5pts

Blue projected score99.3pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 98.2
Score range: 60–236
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 356 vs event baseline 217.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

297.2Season APEX189.6

31.2Auto41.8

125.6Teleop48

29.1Endgame15.3

58Consistency104

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	27
teleop	173	62
endgame	31	5
foul	15	0
total	262	94

Result

Final score

262 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 34.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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