Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

244.07 – 193.74

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

342 – 234

Prediction correct · off by 69.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 401.1 ±9.8

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 76.58Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 120.75Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 46.74Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 296.7 ±9.8

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 59.59Rank 14Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 104.51Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5900The Fighting Mongooses

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 29.64Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1261, 8866, 3329

/ 100 compat

Projected

244.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1261, 8866, 3329

Auto

52.8 21%

Teleop

149.3 61%

Endgame

43.6 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6829, 8736, 5900

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6829, 8736, 5900

Auto

39.2 20%

Teleop

84.8 43%

Endgame

74.1 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.71 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score244.1pts

Blue projected score193.7pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 50.3
Score range: 157–281
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 576 vs event baseline 206.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

401.1Season APEX296.7

52.8Auto39.2

149.3Teleop84.8

43.6Endgame74.1

123Consistency111

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	91	24
teleop	161	139
endgame	75	66
foul	15	5
total	342	234

Result

Final score

342 – 234

Prediction correct · off by 69.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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