Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

337.42 – 121.38

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

268 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 61.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 472.4 ±9.3

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 198.28Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 28.93Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 110.21Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 182.3 ±10.4

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 49.17Rank 30Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 57.56Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5608Lassiter Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 14.65Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1002, 3635, 1648

/ 100 compat

Projected

337.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1002, 3635, 1648

Auto

98.1 29%

Teleop

168.1 50%

Endgame

69.0 21%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5109, 8577, 5608

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.4 pts

~0.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5109, 8577, 5608

Auto

28.2 24%

Teleop

67.7 57%

Endgame

23.4 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.32 · Blue 0.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score337.4pts

Blue projected score121.4pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 216
Score range: 83–375
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 336 vs event baseline 213.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

472.4Season APEX182.3

98.1Auto28.2

168.1Teleop67.7

69Endgame23.4

69Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	84	23
teleop	131	16
endgame	53	14
foul	0	15
total	268	68

Result

Final score

268 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 61.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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