Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

211.46 – 147.03

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

45 – 240

Prediction missed · off by 129.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 265.2 ±9.8

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 64.3Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 106.23Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 40.93Rank 45Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 373.7 ±9.8

6340The Marist Manatees

Season APEX 81.9Event APEX 51.15Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4189Chargers

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 98.82Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6772The Marist Manta Rays

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX -2.94Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8080, 7451, 11174

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8080, 7451, 11174

Auto

42.4 21%

Teleop

119.3 59%

Endgame

40.1 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6340, 4189, 6772

/ 100 compat

Projected

147 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6340, 4189, 6772

Auto

36.6 26%

Teleop

72.4 51%

Endgame

32.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.62 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score211.5pts

Blue projected score147pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 64.4
Score range: 108–250
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 285 vs event baseline 215.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

265.2Season APEX373.7

42.4Auto36.6

119.3Teleop72.4

40.1Endgame32.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	55
teleop	31	128
endgame	0	52
foul	0	5
total	45	240

Result

Final score

45 – 240

Prediction missed · off by 129.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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