Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

220.93 – 301.33

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

139 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 72.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 241.1 ±10.4

6887Dalton Catabots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 51.13Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 132.55Rank 11Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 37.25Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 439.5 ±9.8

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 16.92Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 144.38Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 140.03Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6887, 4026, 1414

/ 100 compat

Projected

220.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6887, 4026, 1414

Auto

42.8 19%

Teleop

132.1 59%

Endgame

49.5 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6905, 1683, 1833

/ 100 compat

Projected

301.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6905, 1683, 1833

Auto

65.3 22%

Teleop

181.4 60%

Endgame

56.7 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.9 · Blue 1.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score220.9pts

Blue projected score301.3pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -80.4
Score range: 182–340
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 378 vs event baseline 216.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

241.1Season APEX439.5

42.8Auto65.3

132.1Teleop181.4

49.5Endgame56.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	73
teleop	74	166
endgame	10	0
foul	0	0
total	139	239

Result

Final score

139 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 72.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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