Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

311.67 – 203.16

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

314 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 374.2 ±9.8

4112EagleBots

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 126.24Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 81.11Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 104.32Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 307.6 ±9.8

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 61.2Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 68.94Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 73.02Rank 14Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4112, 6705, 6919

/ 100 compat

Projected

311.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4112, 6705, 6919

Auto

26.7 9%

Teleop

196.3 64%

Endgame

82.9 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3329, 832, 6829

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3329, 832, 6829

Auto

21.4 11%

Teleop

111.8 58%

Endgame

58.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.07 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score311.7pts

Blue projected score203.2pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 108.5
Score range: 164–351
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 481 vs event baseline 215.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

374.2Season APEX307.6

26.7Auto21.4

196.3Teleop111.8

82.9Endgame58.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	28
teleop	161	78
endgame	87	61
foul	10	0
total	314	167

Result

Final score

314 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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