Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

241.81 – 262.17

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

199 – 158

Prediction missed · off by 73.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 278 ±9.8

1746Team OTTO

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 110.89Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 51.85Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 79.07Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 387.8 ±9.8

5219TeknoSquad 5219

Season APEX 67.2Event APEX 63.16Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 35.42Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 163.59Rank 1Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1746, 6023, 9477

/ 100 compat

Projected

241.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1746, 6023, 9477

Auto

22.9 10%

Teleop

141.2 62%

Endgame

63.2 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5219, 3344, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

262.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5219, 3344, 1771

Auto

48.4 19%

Teleop

140.7 55%

Endgame

67.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score241.8pts

Blue projected score262.2pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -20.4
Score range: 202–302
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 357 vs event baseline 222.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

278Season APEX387.8

22.9Auto48.4

141.2Teleop140.7

63.2Endgame67.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	55
teleop	87	95
endgame	71	8
foul	15	0
total	199	158

Result

Final score

199 – 158

Prediction missed · off by 73.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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