Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

96.82 – 246.05

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

131 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 45.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 192 ±10.4

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 65.76Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 27.02Rank 45Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6772The Marist Manta Rays

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 4.04Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 177 ±10.4

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 83.51Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 45.47Rank 43Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

4112EagleBots

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 117.07Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6705, 11174, 6772

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.8 pts

~0.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6705, 11174, 6772

Auto

9.1 9%

Teleop

58.7 60%

Endgame

29.7 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3635, 3815, 4112

/ 100 compat

Projected

246.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3635, 3815, 4112

Auto

67.6 28%

Teleop

134.6 56%

Endgame

37.8 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.54 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score96.8pts

Blue projected score246.1pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -149.2
Score range: 56–287
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 321 vs event baseline 229.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

192Season APEX177

9.1Auto67.6

58.7Teleop134.6

29.7Endgame37.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	15
teleop	58	119
endgame	43	51
foul	0	5
total	131	190

Result

Final score

131 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 45.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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