Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

244.69 – 133.84

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

366 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 94.1 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 403.4 ±9.8

1746Team OTTO

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 75.71Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 101.55Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4189Chargers

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 67.43Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 216.4 ±9.8

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 67.43Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4509Mechanical Bulls

Season APEX 69.1Event APEX 26.7Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 39.71Rank 44Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1746, 8866, 4189

/ 100 compat

Projected

244.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1746, 8866, 4189

Auto

37.8 15%

Teleop

156.8 64%

Endgame

50.1 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1414, 4509, 11214

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.8 pts

~0.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1414, 4509, 11214

Auto

33.3 25%

Teleop

63.3 48%

Endgame

34.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.11 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score244.7pts

Blue projected score133.8pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 110.9
Score range: 95–284
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 433 vs event baseline 219.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

403.4Season APEX216.4

37.8Auto33.3

156.8Teleop63.3

50.1Endgame34

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	19
teleop	234	39
endgame	43	9
foul	15	0
total	366	67

Result

Final score

366 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 94.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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