Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

118.1 – 254.58

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

154 – 236

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 182.5 ±10.4

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 75.88Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 7.69Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 34.53Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 425.6 ±9.3

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 34.83Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 54.08Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4189Chargers

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 165.67Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 832, 6910, 8577

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.1 pts

~0.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 832, 6910, 8577

Auto

22.2 19%

Teleop

51.8 45%

Endgame

41.2 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7451, 1414, 4189

/ 100 compat

Projected

254.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7451, 1414, 4189

Auto

57.9 23%

Teleop

145.4 59%

Endgame

44.5 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.51 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score118.1pts

Blue projected score254.6pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -136.5
Score range: 77–296
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 390 vs event baseline 230.3.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

182.5Season APEX425.6

22.2Auto57.9

51.8Teleop145.4

41.2Endgame44.5

82Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	64
teleop	63	137
endgame	57	35
foul	15	0
total	154	236

Result

Final score

154 – 236

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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