Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

533.78 – 387.46

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

529 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 84.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 649.1 ±9.3

4509Mechanical Bulls

Season APEX 69.1Event APEX 46.15Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 246.42Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 241.21Rank 1Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 565.5 ±9.3

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 21.65Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 158.26Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 207.55Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4509, 1833, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

533.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4509, 1833, 1771

Auto

120.6 23%

Teleop

313.1 59%

Endgame

94.7 18%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3635, 6919, 1002

/ 100 compat

Projected

387.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3635, 6919, 1002

Auto

85.8 23%

Teleop

190.3 50%

Endgame

103.7 27%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.19 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score533.8pts

Blue projected score387.5pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 146.3
Score range: 346–575
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 753 vs event baseline 228.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

649.1Season APEX565.5

120.6Auto85.8

313.1Teleop190.3

94.7Endgame103.7

0Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	116	29
teleop	278	116
endgame	135	64
foul	0	15
total	529	224

Result

Final score

529 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 84.1 pts

Match videos

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