PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

141.46 – 83.12

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

133 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 343.8 ±10.5

1033810338 - CircuitMakers

Season APEX 32Event APEX 2.45Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 39.6Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 99.41Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 211.8 ±11

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 30.39Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 29.29Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8100Grayson Robotics

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 23.44Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10338, 6023, 1261

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10338, 6023, 1261

Auto

21.9 17%

Teleop

72.4 55%

Endgame

37.0 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8080, 8736, 8100

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8080, 8736, 8100

Auto

23.8 32%

Teleop

28.6 38%

Endgame

22.4 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score141.5pts

Blue projected score83.1pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 58.3
Score range: 57–167
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 242 vs event baseline 143.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

343.8Season APEX211.8

21.9Auto23.8

72.4Teleop28.6

37Endgame22.4

0Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	11
teleop	82	54
endgame	25	44
foul	5	0
total	133	109

Result

Final score

133 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 pts

Match videos

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