PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

301.12 – 112.38

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

402 – 140

Prediction correct · off by 64.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 537.8 ±9.3

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 106.99Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 29.77Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 164.36Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 179.1 ±11

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 53.86Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4701Warriors (Team W.I.R.E.)

Season APEX 20.1Event APEX 0.88Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 57.64Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6919, 6905, 1002

/ 100 compat

Projected

301.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6919, 6905, 1002

Auto

66.1 23%

Teleop

146.5 51%

Endgame

76.9 27%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5109, 4701, 8866

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5109, 4701, 8866

Auto

27.1 24%

Teleop

63.6 57%

Endgame

20.7 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score301.1pts

Blue projected score112.4pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 188.7
Score range: 87–326
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-18
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 542 vs event baseline 141.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

537.8Season APEX179.1

66.1Auto27.1

146.5Teleop63.6

76.9Endgame20.7

0Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	39
teleop	237	62
endgame	81	39
foul	15	0
total	402	140

Result

Final score

402 – 140

Prediction correct · off by 64.3 pts

Match videos

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