PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

242.51 – 141.02

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

255 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 12.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 565.9 ±8.7

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 4.24Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 118.24Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 120.03Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 343.8 ±10.5

1033810338 - CircuitMakers

Season APEX 32Event APEX 2.29Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 39.54Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 99.19Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11214, 4188, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

242.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11214, 4188, 1771

Auto

52.6 22%

Teleop

129.3 54%

Endgame

59.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10338, 6023, 1261

/ 100 compat

Projected

141 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10338, 6023, 1261

Auto

19.3 15%

Teleop

75.0 56%

Endgame

38.5 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score242.5pts

Blue projected score141pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 101.5
Score range: 116–268
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-18
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 409 vs event baseline 139.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

565.9Season APEX343.8

52.6Auto19.3

129.3Teleop75

59.3Endgame38.5

41Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	72	37
teleop	145	68
endgame	38	29
foul	0	20
total	255	154

Result

Final score

255 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 12.7 pts

Match videos

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