PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

74.32 – 128.53

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

127 – 71

Prediction missed · off by 55.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 211.8 ±11

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 27.38Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 26.59Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8100Grayson Robotics

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 20.35Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.4 ±11

7538Metal Mountain

Season APEX 26.2Event APEX 9.82Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 62.44Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 56.27Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8080, 8736, 8100

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8080, 8736, 8100

Auto

24.7 36%

Teleop

27.0 39%

Endgame

17.8 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7538, 3635, 6925

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7538, 3635, 6925

Auto

20.2 16%

Teleop

63.6 52%

Endgame

38.9 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.05 · Blue 1.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score74.3pts

Blue projected score128.5pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -54.2
Score range: 49–154
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 198 vs event baseline 140.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

211.8Season APEX265.4

24.7Auto20.2

27Teleop63.6

17.8Endgame38.9

47Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	25
teleop	36	22
endgame	43	19
foul	25	5
total	127	71

Result

Final score

127 – 71

Prediction missed · off by 55.1 pts

Match videos

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