PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

315.92 – 57.08

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

243 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 76.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 537.8 ±9.3

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 112.69Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 33.87Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 169.36Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 211.8 ±11

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 22.23Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 19.97Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8100Grayson Robotics

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 14.88Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6919, 6905, 1002

/ 100 compat

Projected

315.9 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6919, 6905, 1002

Auto

66.9 22%

Teleop

161.9 53%

Endgame

75.8 25%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8080, 8736, 8100

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.1 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8080, 8736, 8100

Auto

27.0 52%

Teleop

13.2 25%

Endgame

12.0 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score315.9pts

Blue projected score57.1pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 258.8
Score range: 32–341
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 381 vs event baseline 140.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

537.8Season APEX211.8

66.9Auto27

161.9Teleop13.2

75.8Endgame12

0Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	16
teleop	81	75
endgame	79	42
foul	15	5
total	243	138

Result

Final score

243 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 76.9 pts

Match videos

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