PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

313.65 – 135.83

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

366 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 37.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 537.8 ±9.3

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 111.84Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 33.43Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 168.38Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 179.1 ±11

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 61.47Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4701Warriors (Team W.I.R.E.)

Season APEX 20.1Event APEX 8.94Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 65.42Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6919, 6905, 1002

/ 100 compat

Projected

313.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6919, 6905, 1002

Auto

66.7 22%

Teleop

160.4 53%

Endgame

75.4 25%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5109, 4701, 8866

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.8 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5109, 4701, 8866

Auto

34.0 25%

Teleop

71.3 53%

Endgame

28.6 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score313.7pts

Blue projected score135.8pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 177.8
Score range: 110–340
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 525 vs event baseline 146.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

537.8Season APEX179.1

66.7Auto34

160.4Teleop71.3

75.4Endgame28.6

0Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	81	67
teleop	185	51
endgame	70	41
foul	30	0
total	366	159

Result

Final score

366 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 37.8 pts

Match videos

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