PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

241.22 – 315.4

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

327 – 316

Prediction missed · off by 43.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 565.9 ±8.7

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 4.34Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 116.8Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 120.08Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 537.8 ±9.3

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 112.06Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 34.53Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 168.81Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11214, 4188, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

241.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11214, 4188, 1771

Auto

55.1 23%

Teleop

130.1 54%

Endgame

55.2 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6919, 6905, 1002

/ 100 compat

Projected

315.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6919, 6905, 1002

Auto

65.9 22%

Teleop

160.3 53%

Endgame

77.1 25%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score241.2pts

Blue projected score315.4pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -74.2
Score range: 215–341
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 643 vs event baseline 143.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

565.9Season APEX537.8

55.1Auto65.9

130.1Teleop160.3

55.2Endgame77.1

27Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	79	77
teleop	209	169
endgame	39	65
foul	0	5
total	327	316

Result

Final score

327 – 316

Prediction missed · off by 43.2 pts

Match videos

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