Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
48.8 – 93.29
36%64%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
80 – 108
Prediction correct · off by 23 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 144.5 ±12.8
Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 42.27Rank 28Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 34.1Event APEX -6.45Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 12.98Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 318.3 ±10.4
Season APEX 68.3Event APEX -6.45Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 38.02Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 61.72Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7104, 4730, 3635
43
/ 100 compatProjected
48.8 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 7104, 4730, 3635
Auto
9.6 21%
Teleop
24.8 55%
Endgame
10.5 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5109, 6023, 6925
43
/ 100 compatProjected
93.3 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 5109, 6023, 6925
Auto
7.4 8%
Teleop
69.3 78%
Endgame
12.0 14%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.82
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score48.8pts
Blue projected score93.3pts
Red win probability36%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -44.5
- Score range
- 22–120
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
144.5Season APEX318.3
9.6Auto7.4
24.8Teleop69.3
10.5Endgame12
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 7 |
| teleop | 44 | 71 |
| endgame | 8 | 30 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 80 | 108 |
Result
Final score
80 – 108
Prediction correct · off by 23 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.