PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

206.6 – 94.06

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

89 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 89.8 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 341.2 ±10.5

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 57.25Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7538Metal Mountain

Season APEX 26.2Event APEX 24.68Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 124.67Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 191.5 ±11.1

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 32.76Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4701Warriors (Team W.I.R.E.)

Season APEX 20.1Event APEX 32.34Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1033810338 - CircuitMakers

Season APEX 32Event APEX 28.96Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3091, 7538, 6919

/ 100 compat

Projected

206.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3091, 7538, 6919

Auto

27.5 13%

Teleop

127.6 62%

Endgame

51.4 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1648, 4701, 10338

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1648, 4701, 10338

Auto

17.7 20%

Teleop

58.0 64%

Endgame

14.8 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.05 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score206.6pts

Blue projected score94.1pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 112.5
Score range: 65–236
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 121 vs event baseline 163.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

341.2Season APEX191.5

27.5Auto17.7

127.6Teleop58

51.4Endgame14.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	7
teleop	28	14
endgame	7	11
foul	5	0
total	89	32

Result

Final score

89 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 89.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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