Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
237.51 – 114
82%18%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
297 – 41
Prediction correct · off by 66.2 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 625 ±9.3
Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 36.29Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 132Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 69.22Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 199.6 ±12.4
Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 49.43Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 16.86Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 47.71Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8736, 1002, 1771
88
/ 100 compatProjected
237.5 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 8736, 1002, 1771
Auto
45.3 19%
Teleop
132.5 56%
Endgame
59.3 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7514, 11214, 4240
55
/ 100 compatProjected
114 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 7514, 11214, 4240
Auto
15.5 14%
Teleop
67.8 59%
Endgame
30.7 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.19 · Blue 0.72
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score237.5pts
Blue projected score114pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 33%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 123.5
- Score range
- 85–267
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
625Season APEX199.6
45.3Auto15.5
132.5Teleop67.8
59.3Endgame30.7
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 72 | 17 |
| teleop | 153 | 18 |
| endgame | 72 | 6 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 297 | 41 |
Result
Final score
297 – 41
Prediction correct · off by 66.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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