PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

78.66 – 245.48

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

67 – 272

Prediction correct · off by 19.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 200.3 ±11.2

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 9.48Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 54.44Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4730Terminators

Season APEX 34.1Event APEX 14.74Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 588.1 ±9.3

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 123.28Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 30.83Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 91.37Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11214, 8866, 4730

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.7 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11214, 8866, 4730

Auto

11.1 15%

Teleop

40.8 56%

Endgame

20.9 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1771, 6023, 1261

/ 100 compat

Projected

245.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1771, 6023, 1261

Auto

40.4 17%

Teleop

145.1 60%

Endgame

58.1 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.59 · Blue 2.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score78.7pts

Blue projected score245.5pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -166.8
Score range: 54–270
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 339 vs event baseline 141.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

200.3Season APEX588.1

11.1Auto40.4

40.8Teleop145.1

20.9Endgame58.1

58Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	74
teleop	25	116
endgame	11	67
foul	5	15
total	67	272

Result

Final score

67 – 272

Prediction correct · off by 19.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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