PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

343.78 – 75.81

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

331 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 12.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 547.7 ±9.3

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 122.99Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 51.66Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 169.13Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208.6 ±11.7

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 20.56Rank 28Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 18.73Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 36.52Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4188, 5109, 1002

/ 100 compat

Projected

343.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4188, 5109, 1002

Auto

73.5 21%

Teleop

199.9 58%

Endgame

69.7 20%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7104, 8736, 3091

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.8 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7104, 8736, 3091

Auto

36.7 50%

Teleop

20.6 28%

Endgame

16.4 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.55 · Blue 0.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score343.8pts

Blue projected score75.8pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 268
Score range: 50–370
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 395 vs event baseline 142.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

547.7Season APEX208.6

73.5Auto36.7

199.9Teleop20.6

69.7Endgame16.4

17Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	71	20
teleop	205	24
endgame	55	20
foul	0	0
total	331	64

Result

Final score

331 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 12.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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