PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

278.44 – 50.09

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

189 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 50.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 598.6 ±9.3

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 131.03Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 117.94Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 29.47Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 104.8 ±11.6

7538Metal Mountain

Season APEX 26.2Event APEX 5.19Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8100Grayson Robotics

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 12.83Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 32.07Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1771, 6919, 8080

/ 100 compat

Projected

278.4 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1771, 6919, 8080

Auto

56.4 21%

Teleop

138.0 51%

Endgame

78.7 29%

Strengths

· 1771 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7538, 8100, 6905

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.1 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7538, 8100, 6905

Auto

29.1 65%

Teleop

14.6 33%

Endgame

0.8 2%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.45 · Blue 0.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score278.4pts

Blue projected score50.1pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 228.4
Score range: 24–304
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 251 vs event baseline 142.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

598.6Season APEX104.8

56.4Auto29.1

138Teleop14.6

78.7Endgame0.8

9Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	21
teleop	68	26
endgame	62	10
foul	5	5
total	189	62

Result

Final score

189 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 50.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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