PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

133.88 – 210.3

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

101 – 316

Prediction correct · off by 69.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 335.9 ±10.5

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 40.27Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 95.93Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4701Warriors (Team W.I.R.E.)

Season APEX 20.1Event APEX -2.32Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 385.8 ±11.2

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 158.21Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4240TroTek Warriors

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 8.45Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 43.64Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3091, 1261, 4701

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3091, 1261, 4701

Auto

29.9 23%

Teleop

81.8 62%

Endgame

20.6 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1002, 4240, 5109

/ 100 compat

Projected

210.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1002, 4240, 5109

Auto

53.1 25%

Teleop

117.4 55%

Endgame

42.8 20%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 1.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score133.9pts

Blue projected score210.3pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -76.4
Score range: 109–235
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 417 vs event baseline 141.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

335.9Season APEX385.8

29.9Auto53.1

81.8Teleop117.4

20.6Endgame42.8

32Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	77
teleop	16	184
endgame	38	50
foul	15	5
total	101	316

Result

Final score

101 – 316

Prediction correct · off by 69.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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