PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

208.9 – 129.24

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

216 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 12.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 358.7 ±9.3

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 51.93Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 119.57Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 37.4Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 173.7 ±12.8

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 67.32Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4730Terminators

Season APEX 34.1Event APEX 13.97Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7514EVE Robotics

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 47.95Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9477, 4188, 6910

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9477, 4188, 6910

Auto

47.3 24%

Teleop

112.1 56%

Endgame

39.7 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3635, 4730, 7514

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3635, 4730, 7514

Auto

19.0 15%

Teleop

67.9 54%

Endgame

38.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.01 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score208.9pts

Blue projected score129.2pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 79.7
Score range: 104–234
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 327 vs event baseline 140.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

358.7Season APEX173.7

47.3Auto19

112.1Teleop67.9

39.7Endgame38.7

12Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	21
teleop	111	57
endgame	75	33
foul	0	0
total	216	111

Result

Final score

216 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 12.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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