PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

119.11 – 111.31

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

147 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 48.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 307.7 ±9.8

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 37.26Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 51.07Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 30.78Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 142.4 ±11.7

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 61.6Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 37.26Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4730Terminators

Season APEX 34.1Event APEX 12.45Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6023, 1648, 8080

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6023, 1648, 8080

Auto

20.3 18%

Teleop

70.6 63%

Endgame

22.0 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5109, 6905, 4730

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5109, 6905, 4730

Auto

25.3 24%

Teleop

61.5 59%

Endgame

16.8 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score119.1pts

Blue projected score111.3pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 7.8
Score range: 83–147
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 190 vs event baseline 152.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

307.7Season APEX142.4

20.3Auto25.3

70.6Teleop61.5

22Endgame16.8

32Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	18
teleop	106	23
endgame	9	2
foul	15	0
total	147	43

Result

Final score

147 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 48.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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