PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.34 – 84.43

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

160 – 185

Prediction correct · off by 99.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.7 ±11

1033810338 - CircuitMakers

Season APEX 32Event APEX -10.48Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 24.06Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 48.76Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 213.1 ±11.7

5074RoboMustangs

Season APEX 31Event APEX 22.59Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 47.79Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 14.05Rank 28Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10338, 6905, 8866

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10338, 6905, 8866

Auto

22.1 40%

Teleop

25.3 46%

Endgame

7.8 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5074, 1648, 7104

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5074, 1648, 7104

Auto

25.8 32%

Teleop

33.5 41%

Endgame

22.2 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score62.3pts

Blue projected score84.4pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -22.1
Score range: 37–109
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 345 vs event baseline 139.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

162.7Season APEX213.1

22.1Auto25.8

25.3Teleop33.5

7.8Endgame22.2

0Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	46
teleop	93	72
endgame	55	57
foul	0	10
total	160	185

Result

Final score

160 – 185

Prediction correct · off by 99.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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