PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

108.44 – 127.76

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

121 – 69

Prediction missed · off by 35.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 209.7 ±11.7

4240TroTek Warriors

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 11.65Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 66.55Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 30.24Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208.4 ±10.4

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 44.98Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 45.03Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 37.75Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4240, 3635, 8080

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4240, 3635, 8080

Auto

29.7 30%

Teleop

41.1 42%

Endgame

27.3 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3091, 6910, 6023

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3091, 6910, 6023

Auto

20.6 17%

Teleop

76.3 62%

Endgame

26.3 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score108.4pts

Blue projected score127.8pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -19.3
Score range: 83–153
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 190 vs event baseline 141.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

209.7Season APEX208.4

29.7Auto20.6

41.1Teleop76.3

27.3Endgame26.3

12Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	11
teleop	67	51
endgame	37	7
foul	0	0
total	121	69

Result

Final score

121 – 69

Prediction missed · off by 35.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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