PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

251.81 – 251.58

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

223 – 265

Prediction missed · off by 21.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 487.4 ±9.3

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 26.21Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 125.29Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 100.31Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 495.4 ±9.3

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 45.98Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 158.7Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 46.9Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6905, 4188, 1261

/ 100 compat

Projected

251.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6905, 4188, 1261

Auto

48.3 20%

Teleop

151.6 63%

Endgame

39.8 17%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1648, 1002, 8866

/ 100 compat

Projected

251.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1648, 1002, 8866

Auto

53.7 22%

Teleop

140.2 58%

Endgame

48.3 20%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.59 · Blue 1.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score251.8pts

Blue projected score251.6pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0.2
Score range: 227–277
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 488 vs event baseline 139.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

487.4Season APEX495.4

48.3Auto53.7

151.6Teleop140.2

39.8Endgame48.3

7Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	66
teleop	114	154
endgame	50	45
foul	0	0
total	223	265

Result

Final score

223 – 265

Prediction missed · off by 21.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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