PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

208.57 – 115.1

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

190 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 17.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 474 ±10.5

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 71.13Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 133.02Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7538Metal Mountain

Season APEX 26.2Event APEX 4.42Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.5 ±10.5

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 41.74Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5074RoboMustangs

Season APEX 31Event APEX 20.14Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 53.22Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6925, 1771, 7538

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6925, 1771, 7538

Auto

43.2 21%

Teleop

113.2 54%

Endgame

54.1 26%

Strengths

· 1771 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5109, 5074, 9477

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5109, 5074, 9477

Auto

19.3 18%

Teleop

56.5 53%

Endgame

29.9 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score208.6pts

Blue projected score115.1pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 93.5
Score range: 90–234
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 322 vs event baseline 138.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

474Season APEX196.5

43.2Auto19.3

113.2Teleop56.5

54.1Endgame29.9

36Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	30
teleop	93	45
endgame	39	57
foul	0	0
total	190	132

Result

Final score

190 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 17.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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