PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

30.25 – 17.45

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 68

Prediction missed · off by 35.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 164.5 ±12.2

1033810338 - CircuitMakers

Season APEX 32Event APEX -11.71Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 29.08Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 12.88Rank 28Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 179 ±10.5

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 2.87Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 20.76Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4701Warriors (Team W.I.R.E.)

Season APEX 20.1Event APEX -6.18Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10338, 8080, 7104

/ 100 compat

Projected

30.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10338, 8080, 7104

Auto

23.6 74%

Teleop

-5.8 0%

Endgame

13.9 44%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11214, 8736, 4701

/ 100 compat

Projected

17.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11214, 8736, 4701

Auto

14.7 74%

Teleop

2.1 11%

Endgame

3.2 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score30.3pts

Blue projected score17.5pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 12.8
Score range: -8–55
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 118 vs event baseline 140.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

164.5Season APEX179

23.6Auto14.7

-5.8Teleop2.1

13.9Endgame3.2

4Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	19
teleop	20	31
endgame	14	13
foul	0	5
total	50	68

Result

Final score

50 – 68

Prediction missed · off by 35.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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