PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

176.41 – 19.05

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

257 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 75.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 382.9 ±11.2

7514EVE Robotics

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 38.15Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 30.89Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 107.37Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 121.8 ±12.7

5828Flying Riots

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 10.86Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8100Grayson Robotics

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 2.75Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4730Terminators

Season APEX 34.1Event APEX 5.44Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7514, 6023, 6919

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7514, 6023, 6919

Auto

23.7 14%

Teleop

91.5 53%

Endgame

57.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5828, 8100, 4730

/ 100 compat

Projected

19.1 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5828, 8100, 4730

Auto

12.2 78%

Teleop

-5.6 0%

Endgame

9.1 58%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.33 · Blue 0.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score176.4pts

Blue projected score19.1pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 157.4
Score range: -6–201
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 347 vs event baseline 139.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

382.9Season APEX121.8

23.7Auto12.2

91.5Teleop-5.6

57Endgame9.1

15Consistency105

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	34
teleop	151	39
endgame	76	17
foul	0	0
total	257	90

Result

Final score

257 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 75.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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