PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

50.05 – 159.34

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

44 – 258

Prediction correct · off by 52.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 204.7 ±9.9

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 62.52Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1033810338 - CircuitMakers

Season APEX 32Event APEX -11.54Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX -0.93Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 411 ±11.2

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 33.97Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 126.47Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4240TroTek Warriors

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX -1.1Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9477, 10338, 11214

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9477, 10338, 11214

Auto

15.0 35%

Teleop

9.1 21%

Endgame

19.1 44%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3091, 1771, 4240

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3091, 1771, 4240

Auto

43.6 27%

Teleop

89.6 55%

Endgame

29.3 18%

Strengths

· 1771 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score50.1pts

Blue projected score159.3pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -109.3
Score range: 25–184
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 302 vs event baseline 138.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

204.7Season APEX411

15Auto43.6

9.1Teleop89.6

19.1Endgame29.3

46Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	71
teleop	17	125
endgame	10	62
foul	0	0
total	44	258

Result

Final score

44 – 258

Prediction correct · off by 52.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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