Qualification · Qualification 40
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
201.95 – 180.35
57%43%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
237 – 172
Prediction correct · off by 21.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 374.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 26.58Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 155.11Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 31Event APEX 20.26Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 406.6 ±9.8
Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 103.4Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 53.86Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 23.09Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6023, 1002, 5074
83
/ 100 compatProjected
202 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6023, 1002, 5074
Auto
35.4 18%
Teleop
101.2 52%
Endgame
56.6 29%
Strengths
- · 1002 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6919, 8866, 8736
73
/ 100 compatProjected
180.4 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 6919, 8866, 8736
Auto
49.1 28%
Teleop
70.7 41%
Endgame
52.9 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.71 · Blue 1.36
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score202pts
Blue projected score180.4pts
Red win probability57%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 21.6
- Score range
- 155–227
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
374.8Season APEX406.6
35.4Auto49.1
101.2Teleop70.7
56.6Endgame52.9
74Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 39 | 38 |
| teleop | 137 | 73 |
| endgame | 56 | 51 |
| foul | 5 | 10 |
| total | 237 | 172 |
Result
Final score
237 – 172
Prediction correct · off by 21.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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