PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

33.91 – 113.44

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

59 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 42.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 144.4 ±11.7

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 17.98Rank 28Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7538Metal Mountain

Season APEX 26.2Event APEX 3.86Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 12.07Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 251.6 ±11.2

7514EVE Robotics

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 40.65Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 48.79Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 24Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7104, 7538, 11214

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7104, 7538, 11214

Auto

21.8 63%

Teleop

2.0 6%

Endgame

10.8 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7514, 9477, 3091

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7514, 9477, 3091

Auto

27.2 24%

Teleop

58.8 52%

Endgame

27.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 1.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score33.9pts

Blue projected score113.4pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -79.5
Score range: 6–141
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 232 vs event baseline 152.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

144.4Season APEX251.6

21.8Auto27.2

2Teleop58.8

10.8Endgame27.4

48Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	18
teleop	23	105
endgame	13	50
foul	0	0
total	59	173

Result

Final score

59 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 42.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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