PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

34.24 – 189.19

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

77 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 50.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 180.2 ±10.5

7538Metal Mountain

Season APEX 26.2Event APEX 16.15Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX -3.58Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 21.67Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 328.5 ±10.5

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 134.94Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5074RoboMustangs

Season APEX 31Event APEX 25.08Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 29.17Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7538, 11214, 6023

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7538, 11214, 6023

Auto

3.7 14%

Teleop

16.3 61%

Endgame

6.7 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4188, 5074, 8736

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.2 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4188, 5074, 8736

Auto

39.3 22%

Teleop

98.4 55%

Endgame

42.7 24%

Strengths

· 4188 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.58 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score34.2pts

Blue projected score189.2pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -154.9
Score range: 9–214
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 208 vs event baseline 141.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

180.2Season APEX328.5

3.7Auto39.3

16.3Teleop98.4

6.7Endgame42.7

110Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	47
teleop	33	47
endgame	26	37
foul	0	0
total	77	131

Result

Final score

77 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 50.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.