Qualification · Qualification 36
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
158.21 – 184.6
42%58%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
147 – 290
Prediction correct · off by 58.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 314 ±11.2
Season APEX 34.1Event APEX 6.27Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 47.3Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 104.64Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 468.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 32Event APEX -24.8Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 67.14Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 142.26Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4730, 6910, 6919
67
/ 100 compatProjected
158.2 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4730, 6910, 6919
Auto
36.1 24%
Teleop
67.1 44%
Endgame
48.1 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10338, 6925, 1002
75
/ 100 compatProjected
184.6 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 10338, 6925, 1002
Auto
32.9 18%
Teleop
101.0 54%
Endgame
53.6 29%
Strengths
- · 1002 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.64
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score158.2pts
Blue projected score184.6pts
Red win probability42%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -26.4
- Score range
- 133–210
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
314Season APEX468.8
36.1Auto32.9
67.1Teleop101
48.1Endgame53.6
3Consistency61
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 36 | 65 |
| teleop | 47 | 145 |
| endgame | 59 | 80 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 147 | 290 |
Result
Final score
147 – 290
Prediction correct · off by 58.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.