PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

91.29 – 127.8

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

162 – 64

Prediction missed · off by 67.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 156.1 ±11

4701Warriors (Team W.I.R.E.)

Season APEX 20.1Event APEX -10.13Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 29.26Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 72.16Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 201.2 ±12.2

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 62.7Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8100Grayson Robotics

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 18.19Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7514EVE Robotics

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 46.91Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4701, 5109, 3635

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4701, 5109, 3635

Auto

20.0 22%

Teleop

57.3 63%

Endgame

14.2 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8866, 8100, 7514

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8866, 8100, 7514

Auto

30.4 24%

Teleop

71.1 57%

Endgame

24.0 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.23 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score91.3pts

Blue projected score127.8pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -36.5
Score range: 66–153
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 226 vs event baseline 140.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

156.1Season APEX201.2

20Auto30.4

57.3Teleop71.1

14.2Endgame24

52Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	26
teleop	89	12
endgame	43	26
foul	0	0
total	162	64

Result

Final score

162 – 64

Prediction missed · off by 67.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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