PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

209.91 – 58.47

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

295 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 44.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 512.9 ±8.7

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 51.26Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 45.29Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 113.36Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 181.6 ±12.2

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 34.15Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 14.79Rank 28Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5828Flying Riots

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 9.53Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9477, 1648, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

209.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9477, 1648, 1771

Auto

37.5 19%

Teleop

96.1 49%

Endgame

63.3 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8080, 7104, 5828

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8080, 7104, 5828

Auto

29.6 52%

Teleop

10.4 18%

Endgame

17.0 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.26 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score209.9pts

Blue projected score58.5pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 151.4
Score range: 33–235
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 358 vs event baseline 138.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

512.9Season APEX181.6

37.5Auto29.6

96.1Teleop10.4

63.3Endgame17

2Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	23
teleop	208	9
endgame	34	31
foul	0	0
total	295	63

Result

Final score

295 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 44.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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