Qualification · Qualification 33
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
113.74 – 99.02
55%45%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
91 – 82
Prediction correct · off by 19.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 287 ±9.8
Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 63.54Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 8.2Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 40Event APEX 42Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 317.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 52.2Event APEX -2.36Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 117.66Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 32Event APEX -16.28Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6925, 11214, 6905
53
/ 100 compatProjected
113.7 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 6925, 11214, 6905
Auto
11.5 11%
Teleop
68.1 64%
Endgame
26.4 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4240, 1261, 10338
51
/ 100 compatProjected
99 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 4240, 1261, 10338
Auto
26.3 26%
Teleop
58.7 57%
Endgame
17.9 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.49 · Blue 1.31
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score113.7pts
Blue projected score99pts
Red win probability55%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 35%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 14.7
- Score range
- 74–139
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
287Season APEX317.5
11.5Auto26.3
68.1Teleop58.7
26.4Endgame17.9
71Consistency76
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 31 |
| teleop | 49 | 48 |
| endgame | 26 | 3 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 91 | 82 |
Result
Final score
91 – 82
Prediction correct · off by 19.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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