Qualification · Qualification 32
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
78.53 – 274.94
8%92%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
43 – 383
Prediction correct · off by 71.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 98.5 ±11.6
Season APEX 20.1Event APEX -2.55Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 31Event APEX 31.65Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 49.43Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 514.3 ±9.3
Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 58.37Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 97.3Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 119.27Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4701, 5074, 6910
46
/ 100 compatProjected
78.5 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 4701, 5074, 6910
Auto
26.2 34%
Teleop
34.3 44%
Endgame
16.8 22%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3635, 6919, 4188
82
/ 100 compatProjected
274.9 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3635, 6919, 4188
Auto
49.0 19%
Teleop
133.0 52%
Endgame
75.8 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.61 · Blue 2.5
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score78.5pts
Blue projected score274.9pts
Red win probability8%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -196.4
- Score range
- 54–300
- Upset likelihood
- 8%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
98.5Season APEX514.3
26.2Auto49
34.3Teleop133
16.8Endgame75.8
73Consistency75
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 6 | 68 |
| teleop | 20 | 220 |
| endgame | 17 | 95 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 43 | 383 |
Result
Final score
43 – 383
Prediction correct · off by 71.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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