PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

106.08 – 115.21

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

73 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 198 ±12.8

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 34.39Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 20.42Rank 28Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7514EVE Robotics

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 51.27Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 213.8 ±11.2

4730Terminators

Season APEX 34.1Event APEX 19.14Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 41.26Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 54.81Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8736, 7104, 7514

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8736, 7104, 7514

Auto

34.5 30%

Teleop

56.0 49%

Endgame

24.1 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4730, 3091, 9477

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4730, 3091, 9477

Auto

28.1 28%

Teleop

48.3 48%

Endgame

24.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score106.1pts

Blue projected score115.2pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -9.1
Score range: 81–140
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 161 vs event baseline 140.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

198Season APEX213.8

34.5Auto28.1

56Teleop48.3

24.1Endgame24.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	13
teleop	19	45
endgame	20	15
foul	0	15
total	73	88

Result

Final score

73 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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