PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

186.76 – 86.67

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

124 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 43.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 393.4 ±10.5

8100Grayson Robotics

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 30.74Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 118.12Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 37.9Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231.6 ±11.2

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 44.99Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4240TroTek Warriors

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX -3.82Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 45.5Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8100, 1771, 6023

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8100, 1771, 6023

Auto

34.3 19%

Teleop

111.7 60%

Endgame

38.9 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6905, 4240, 1648

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6905, 4240, 1648

Auto

25.2 32%

Teleop

51.7 66%

Endgame

2.0 3%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.01 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score186.8pts

Blue projected score86.7pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 100.1
Score range: 61–213
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 187 vs event baseline 141.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

393.4Season APEX231.6

34.3Auto25.2

111.7Teleop51.7

38.9Endgame2

57Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	21
teleop	66	16
endgame	41	11
foul	0	15
total	124	63

Result

Final score

124 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 43.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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