PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105.51 – 390.25

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

75 – 434

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 137.3 ±11.6

8100Grayson Robotics

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 23.36Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 57.92Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5074RoboMustangs

Season APEX 31Event APEX 24.23Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 731.1 ±8.7

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 117.75Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 98.17Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 174.33Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8100, 3635, 5074

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.5 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8100, 3635, 5074

Auto

19.3 18%

Teleop

46.6 44%

Endgame

39.6 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6919, 1261, 1002

/ 100 compat

Projected

390.3 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6919, 1261, 1002

Auto

83.3 22%

Teleop

197.1 52%

Endgame

95.6 25%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.52 · Blue 2.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score105.5pts

Blue projected score390.3pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -284.7
Score range: 78–418
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 509 vs event baseline 152.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

137.3Season APEX731.1

19.3Auto83.3

46.6Teleop197.1

39.6Endgame95.6

62Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	67
teleop	25	268
endgame	11	99
foul	15	0
total	75	434

Result

Final score

75 – 434

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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