PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

14.35 – 230.61

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

91 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 57 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 143.6 ±11.6

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 16.73Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5828Flying Riots

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX -1.34Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7538Metal Mountain

Season APEX 26.2Event APEX -1.04Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 445.8 ±9.8

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 139.05Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 29.57Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 61.99Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5109, 5828, 7538

/ 100 compat

Projected

14.4 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5109, 5828, 7538

Auto

19.7 100%

Teleop

-16.2 0%

Endgame

13.9 80%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1002, 8080, 8866

/ 100 compat

Projected

230.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1002, 8080, 8866

Auto

44.1 19%

Teleop

156.5 67%

Endgame

33.6 14%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.53 · Blue 2.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score14.4pts

Blue projected score230.6pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -216.3
Score range: -11–256
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 359 vs event baseline 140.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

143.6Season APEX445.8

19.7Auto44.1

-16.2Teleop156.5

13.9Endgame33.6

98Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	73
teleop	55	84
endgame	5	76
foul	5	35
total	91	268

Result

Final score

91 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 57 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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