PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

235.63 – 146.09

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

229 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 6.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 476.7 ±11.2

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 122.04Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7514EVE Robotics

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 54.62Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 58.97Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 306.2 ±11.7

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 19.53Rank 28Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 100.15Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5074RoboMustangs

Season APEX 31Event APEX 26.41Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1261, 7514, 6925

/ 100 compat

Projected

235.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1261, 7514, 6925

Auto

19.1 8%

Teleop

145.8 62%

Endgame

69.8 30%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7104, 6919, 5074

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7104, 6919, 5074

Auto

41.8 31%

Teleop

60.0 44%

Endgame

34.2 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.11 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score235.6pts

Blue projected score146.1pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 89.5
Score range: 121–261
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 382 vs event baseline 138.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

476.7Season APEX306.2

19.1Auto41.8

145.8Teleop60

69.8Endgame34.2

61Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	35
teleop	142	32
endgame	49	86
foul	0	0
total	229	153

Result

Final score

229 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 6.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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